President Trump's Ukraine Strategy

Robert Burgess • December 26, 2025

It is all about ending the war, not managing it forever.

For years, the war in Ukraine has been discussed in absolutes: total victory, total defeat, good versus evil, democracy versus tyranny. That language may animate cable news panels and summit communiqués, but the simple truth is that it doesn’t end wars.

President Donald J. Trump understands something Washington, D.C. has long resisted admitting – wars do not end when one side achieves moral satisfaction. They end when incentives change, leverage is applied, and leaders decide that continued bloodshed no longer serves their interests. That is the lend through which President Trump approaches Ukraine. And it explains why, after years of escalation without resolution, momentum toward an actual settlement is finally emerging.

Earlier this morning, Axios reported that President Trump would host Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at Mar-a-Lago this weekend to hopefully reach an agreement on the United States-proposed peace plan. The media is accurately framing this bilateral meeting as a significant sign of progress, especially since President Trump had previously stated that he would only meet in person with Zelensky again when he felt that a deal was imminent. That is what makes President Trump’s approach to foreign policy so unique – it is not and has never been rooted in abstraction. It is direct, transactional, unsentimental, and focused on outcomes.

Critics often mistake this approach for indifference. In reality, it is realism . . . the kind that prioritizes stability, deterrence, and finality over ideological perfection. In Ukraine, that realism manifests in a clear objective: end the kinetic war.

Not prolong it in pursuit of maximalist goals.

Not manage it indefinitely through aid packages and press statements.

End it.

Washington, D.C. has spent years confusing motion for strategy and progress – funding, arming, and posturing without ever defining an end state. That approach sustains bureaucracies and talking points, but it doesn’t end wars. President Trump’s refusal to play that game is precisely why progress is finally insight and within reach. He is not interested in managing consensus . . . he is interested in producing outcomes.

That means it is necessary to confront uncomfortable facts.

Territory has changed hands. Positions have hardened. No negotiated outcome will leave every side satisfied. But, prolonging a war simply because a clean resolution is unattainable is not strategy – it is abdication of responsibility. President Trump is willing to say what many leaders privately concede but publicly avoid: a frozen or imperfect peace that stops the killing may be preferable to a righteous war with no end in sight.

Unlike those who frame the conflict as a morality play, President Trump views it through the lends of balance and incentives. The question is not whether the outcome is symmetrical or emotionally satisfying. The question is whether it is durable.

A durable settlement does not require rewriting of history or assigning moral absolution. It requires clear lines that are enforced, reduced incentives for renewed conflict, a Europe that takes responsibility for its own security, and a United States that helps close the conflict rather than institutionalize it. Regardless of what some on cable news panels might say, this is not retreat. It is prioritization.

The longer the war drags on, the greater the risk of escalation, miscalculation, and global instability. Energy markets will remain distorted, food insecurity will persist, and military stockpiles will continue to be strained. Strategic attention is consumed by a conflicted with no defined end state. President Trump’s strategy seeks to reverse that trajectory by compressing decision and forcing an endgame, for the betterment of both nations and the rest of the world.

There is a persistent myth in modern foreign policy that strength is measured by how long a nation is willing to fight. History suggests the opposite.

Strength is measured by a nation’s ability to impose outcomes – including peace – on terms that reduce the likelihood of future wars. President Trump’s willingness to challenge orthodox thinking on Ukraine reflects a broader pattern. He has always been skeptical of endless commitments, wary of moral crusades untethered from achievable objectives, and insistent that allies carry their share of the burden.

That worldview is now shaping how this conflict is being addressed.

Europe cannot indefinitely outsource stability to Washington, D.C. Ukraine cannot fight forever without a political horizon. Russia cannot assume the war will be simply managed until exhaustion sets in. Those realities are being brought into alignment, not through speeches but through pressure.

No agreement that ends this war will be flawless. Some will argue it concedes too much. Others will argue it does not go far enough. That is the nature of negotiated settlements, especially after prolonged conflict.

But the alternative – endless war in pursuit of an ever-shifting ideal outcome – is far worse.

President Trump’s approach does not pretend otherwise. It acknowledges that peace often arrives not as a triumph, but as a decision: a decision that the costs of continuation outweigh the benefits, and that stability is worth accepting imperfection. Funny enough, while some may call this weakness, the truth it they’re wrong. It is the same logic that ended conflicts from Korea to the Cold War itself.

The global consequences of Ukraine extend far beyond its borders. A responsible end to the war, even one that leaves scars, would stabilize markets, reduce strategic risk, and allow global attention to refocus on emerging threats that demand long-term seriousness. President Trump’s Ukraine strategy reflects that reality.

It is not about optics. It is not about slogans.

It is about forcing a conclusion where others accepted drift.

History rarely rewards leaders who prolong wars out of fear of criticism. It tends to remember those who end them. President Trump is attempting the harder task – imposing an end state rather than preserving a process. In doing so, he is offering the world something it has lacked for far too long . . .

A credible path toward the end of a devastating war.

Rob Burgess is a national Republican strategist, and Chief Executive Officer at Connector, Inc. – a boutique government relations and political affairs firm with offices in Washington, D.C.
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